Iran and Israel: A dangerous dance between retribution and reluctance

Iran and Israel: A dangerous dance between retribution and reluctance

The tensions in the Middle East reach a new climax! On October 1, Iran targeted Israel with a massive rocket offensive of up to 200 - an attack that was unforgivable for the government in Jerusalem! But instead of the dreaded retaliation, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made a strategic decision. The big escalation is completely different than expected!

Israel's air strikes were only directed against military goals in Iran. Fabrits that produce rockets, as well as air defense and rocket defense systems were the goals. A calculated blow that not only sends a clear message, but also shows a sign of the restraint of Netanyahu. Understandable, because pressure also comes from Washington: At the instructions from the USA, attacks on Iranian nuclear or oil systems failed- this could have huge consequences!

Iran: threatened and struck!

Now the world wonders: How will Tehran react to these targeted attacks? A reaction has already been indicated in the talks of the Iranian revolutionary guards. There was talk of an "appropriate answer". Short scenarios of massive air strikes with up to 1000 rockets on Israel are spirited through the streets of Tehran. But experts warn! Such a step could overthrow the entire Middle East - a scenario that neither Iran nor Israel really wants!

The leaders in Tehran are faced with a difficult decision. On the one hand, you may not have the military power to win a large -scale conflict, on the other hand, ignorance of attacks can mean a loss of face! Therefore, an average retaliation - perhaps a symbolic counterattack - could be the most likely answer. But what if the situation overall tilts and the leaders decide to further expand the nuclear program? There are already questionable voices among the hardliners in Tehran who call after the bomb option!

The danger hovers over the Middle East!

It cannot be overlooked: Iran not only wants to challenge Israel, but also strives for the destruction of the country. While the Mullah regime may act cautiously, the risk of further violence should never be neglected. The current standstill is just a breath - the tensions are far from solved. The military structures of Iran, which were once strong, revealed weaknesses: Hamas in the Gaza Strip is decimated, the HISBOLLAH weakened. And yet the question remains: how strong is the regime really in the middle of this existential crisis?

The war in the Middle East is a dangerous game and every step could radically change the course of the game. Looks are focused on the leadership structures in Tehran - what will be the next train? The world is eagerly awaiting the decisions of the rulers, while the emotions cook up and further increase the geopolitical tensions!